Trading Discussions - Jimmer's Comments w/Charts and QnA in B-Line room Nov 18th and Nov 23rd through Dec 1st 2005

Nov 18th

19:51 Elroch: Any interesting stuff to point out today, jimmer?

19:52 jimmer49: not really, I stopped after around 8:45 my time and never got back to trading - missed the big run up, but notice it was kind of a creeper most of the way, with few really obvious entry points based on what I use

19:54 jimmer49: I am in Oregon btw, if you did not know - so, pacific time

19:55 jimmer49: the chart I posted is what I use on each time frame other than the 18 tick, which I will not likely post here

19:55 jimmer49: normally watching 300/100, with occasional eye on 900 tick

19:56 jimmer49: all my charts have stuff on them to show htf indicators

19:56 @Buffy2: what is the dotted yellow and gray first study window with 2X - longer tf?

19:57 jimmer49: that is the 21, 10,4 sto on 3x time frame

19:57 @Buffy2: ok thant is what I thought tks

19:58 jimmer49: 63,30,12

19:58 jimmer49: I really like those what I call tiered slings

19:59 jimmer49: fast sto on 100 vs. slow sto on 300, as viewed from 100t chart

20:00 jimmer49: two keltners on each chart, the yellow dotted representing htf

20:01 @Buffy2: tks jimmer

20:01 olm: eveing jimmer - your work is very fine indeed

20:01 jimmer49: thanks

20:05 Elroch: How do you deal with 300T slings, Jimmer? I don't see many early 100T band touches in them

20:05 jimmer49: harder to time them right somehow I know

20:06 jimmer49: no set rule for it

20:06 jimmer49: get help from 100t usually

20:06 jimmer49: just depends on how it looks

20:06 jimmer49: long bars often a problem

20:10 Elroch: lol

 

20:12 Elroch: This is why I find 300T tricky - Early slings here had a tough time

20:12 jimmer49: my main setup is actually the 9/30, rather than band touch

20:12 jimmer49: often 9/30 is a sling - more often than not really

20:13 jimmer49: 9sma, 30 wma

20:13 olm: thanks

 

20:13 Elroch: That's interesting jimmer. I thought stochs ruled for you

20:13 Elroch: 9/30 on different time frames?

20:14 jimmer49: stochs are part of how I do anything

20:14 jimmer49: they provide the important context of the situations for me

20:17 jimmer49: 30 wma rising, price bar closes below the 9sma = long setup

20:18 jimmer49: oversimplified of course

20:18 Elroch: Interesting, jimmer. That's a rather different use than the well-known 9/30 setup

20:19 jimmer49: as far as I know that IS the 9/30 setup - which I got from Mike Bruns

20:20 jimmer49: and it has spread around and perhaps gone thru various iterations since

www.efuturevision.com/ehomej.php3

www.efuturevision.com/em930.php3

uses 9ema but jimmer uses 9sma

20:20 jimmer49: people who have been in a room with someone like Mike try to export what they learned after they leave and often mix it up and confuse themselves and others

20:20 jimmer49: which is fine with Mike LOL - and me too

20:21 jimmer49: honestly, the last thing I want is everyone trying to do what I am doing

20:22 jimmer49: fine line between sharing and giving away the store

20:22 halpern: jimmer49, so, people don't usually have much success trying to copy someone elses setup?

20:24 jimmer49: they try to copy without really learning

20:24 halpern: yeah, I can see how that would be a problem

20:24 jimmer49: nuances in everything and they can make a big diff

20:25 jimmer49: mostly, when they leave the mentor from whom they learned, they tend to fail

20:25 jimmer49: all come from not doing the proper work and hoping to just piggy back on what someone else knows or seems to know

 

20:33 @Buffy2: jimmer cited the reason why people say 2xbline doesn't work - they learn the basics but don't stick around to learn the nuances - granted if consistant with basics and wait for setups will still be profitable if keep losses small

20:36 Elroch: I get the impression that everyone who achieves sustained success ends up with an approach which they have developef themselves, using ideas they have learnt from others. Learning a packaged setup doesn't seem to bring rewards, for the reasons given, and others. But the ideas come from seeing what other people do. Even if you use someone else's indicators exactly, it's when you enter and exit that matters, and it won't be just the same as anyone else

 

1:31 JohnK: jimmer49, do you use a hard stop or trailing stop and a 6 to 8 tick target or just enter and exit by watchin indicators?

11:37 jimmer49: John - I have an initial stop of 6 ticks using ninja trader and adjust as scenario unfolds. All entries and exits discretionary unless stop hit - usually out before that happens

 

Nov 23rd through Dec 1, 2005



10:28 jimmer49: trigger bar above last yellow dot
10:29 jimmer49: entry on takeout of trigger
10:30 jimmer49: stop 2 ticks below trigger bar



10:31 jimmer49: the trap would have been the bar above the X
10:33 jimmer49: one fast sto makes that loop up to 80ish, need to allow some time for next valid trigger
10:33 jimmer49: the trap would have been premature entry - learned the hard way

 

10:38 Stok2: jimmer, what conditions are your yellow dots for trigger bars ?
10:40 jimmer49: for long would be - up slope on 30wma, 9sma above 30wma, price falls below 9sma - at that point any bar is a potential trigger bar
10:41 Stok2: thanks
10:41 jimmer49: unless a trade the opposite way in htf has triggered and is under way - little diff
10:41 jimmer49: I am using 9sma - simple
10:41 jimmer49: Mike, who taught me uses ema

 

10:59 Elroch: Jimmer, are you using smoothed stochs with close data point these days?
11:02 jimmer49: yes Elroch

 

2:14 dpg: Jimmer, any thoughts on how you can anticipate if price will bounce off an MA like the 3 min 30wma or plow through it before continuing?
12:16 jimmer49: dpg - bounces off MA's are not something I think about
12:17 dpg: tnx. I can never figure out if a 9/30 type pullback will be short or long. so I get suckered into taking the first fake turn - then it turns into to a 5 wave retracement
12:18 jimmer49: chart time
12:18 Elroch: Know the feeling dpg

12:18 jimmer49: the answer is in the stoch imo
12:18 jimmer49: but no way to simply state it
12:19 jimmer49: but that is where ai would look for answers
12:19 dpg: I understand. tnx. buffy would say something similar to me
12:19 jimmer49: no other way, really
12:20 jimmer49: you will find that Buffy and I think much the same
12:20 jimmer49: we were raised in the same commune
12:20 Elroch: I think your viewpoints have become more similar
12:22 jimmer49: we got all our inital clues mostly from Mike Bruns
12:23 jimmer49: and a little here and a little there from others that we both were with at one time or another and from each other
12:24 jimmer49: my main contribution was using two stoch and overlaying them
12:24 jimmer49: much else came from that
12:26 jimmer49: then thinking differently about bands and how they help to anticipate
12:30 jimmer49: algorithm is another person significant to me in my journey
12:30 jimmer49: one of the best technical traders I have known and one of the nicest
12:32 JB: thanks for sharing jimmer, will close for today, bye

 



13:04 jimmer49: false long trigger at X



13:05 jimmer49: stoch tells why
13:10 jimmer49: was premature trigger and not to be believed based on stoch pattern
13:10 jrtrader: jimmer, on previous swing up, you enter on 100T after 9/30 cross?
13:14 jimmer49: y jrt
13:11 Elroch: So counterindication was 21 10 4 being weak?
13:14 jimmer49: E - was slow tow making 80+ and turning down - needed to run down more past that false trigger
13:15 Elroch: Right, I concur
13:15 jimmer49: slow sto was thinning as well
13:17 jrtrader: thanks
13:21 jimmer49: bars and PA are not easy today
13:26 jimmer49: 100 & 300 is where I like to stay
13:26 jimmer49: occasionally a killer setup on 900
13:26 jimmer49: on bigger range days
13:28 jimmer49: some are happy waiting for their 2 trades a day
13:28 jimmer49: I prefer many

 

7 jimmer49: eleven trades all small



13:48 jimmer49: that was the last one - was not real comfortable at the time
13:49 jimmer49: setup actually based on 300t
13:50 jimmer49: waited for 100t fast to really get down there
13:51 jimmer49: had to trust the band a little
13:51 jimmer49: on 300
13:52 drjones: jimmer...its nice to see you in the room...i have missed you of late but a huge fan of your work
13:52 jimmer49: thanks

 

13:57 Elroch: jimmer, were you encouraged by the test of low there?
13:59 jimmer49: noted it, but distracted and did not trade it



14:01 jimmer49: that was my 18t at test of low
14:01 Elroch: I'm confused. I thought your Keltners were smoothed, but I think they must be exponential?
14:01 Elroch: (on 100T)
14:02 jimmer49: don't think I have ever said, but actually simple

 


14:44 jimmer49: this is best situation for mof
14:45 jimmer49: htf slow sto at extreme and ready to turn
14:55 jimmer49: one of the day's best as it turns out



15:12 jimmer49: stoch separation for reentry
15:14 dpg: not sure what you mean jimmer



15:15 jimmer49: the circled area - fast stoch separated like a sling

 

5:24 dpg: looking for rules, cuz my instincts usually fail me w/ financials. what can I say
15:25 jimmer49: I understand and know the feeling
15:25 jimmer49: chart time
15:25 dpg: thanks for all the help
15:25 jimmer49: expect it to take a while
15:25 jimmer49: don't try to force success on yourself
15:26 jimmer49: give the cake time to rise

 

1:53 ichimoku: jimmer, how do you exit your trades?
11:54 jimmer49: no set rule, just based on my reading of price action and stoch
11:54 ichimoku: ok, thanks
11:56 jimmer49: and I should add - overall context - higer tf picture that is
11:57 jimmer49: of course, emotions try to interfere with all of that LOL
11:58 ichimoku: ok, what tf do you use?
11:58 jimmer49: russell 100, 300 900tick

 

11:21 jimmer49: 9sma and 30 wma are mostly what is relevant to what I have talked about here
11:22 jimmer49: my stoch params are 21,10,4 and 7,3,3 smoothed, on close
11:22 jimmer49: those are my primary study tools

 

11:23 cstrader: jimmmer... is your system mechanical or does it involve making discretionary decisions?
11:23 jimmer49: discretionary with rules

11:29 jimmer49: important to me to have both stoch superimposed in same sub window
11:30 cstrader: Anyone remember the link for the mechanical 9-30 trading system?

11:45 dpg: cstrader, was this what you were looking for? http://www.efuturevision.com/em930.php3

 

11:30 pat255: jimmer what is that light blue & yellow dots in the stch pane..?



11:33 jimmer49: is 63,30,12 stoch to show me slow stoch in 3x time frame

 

11:34 jimmer49: no sound here and room minimized much of the time
11:35 jimmer49: please no pm's during market - too distracting
11:37 dblue2: Thanks for sharing Jimmer... hope we don't drive you away too soon... ;^)))

11:39 jimmer49: no prob - I am in control of how much distraction I allow
11:39 jimmer49: enjoy the company
11:40 dblue2: good!

 

11:39 jrtrader: jimmer, what do you use for managing exits and targets? thnks
11:41 jimmer49: much of what I do involves quick decisions and timing, so need clear focus
11:44 jimmer49: jrt - just my reading of price action, no set rules
11:45 JB: jimmer, about timing: do you close a trade when price doesnt move quickly in your favour? or do you stay "in the water" even when price starts ranging?
11:45 jimmer49: price action an overall context

11:46 jimmer49: stay in, within reason
11:49 jimmer49: hundreds of hours of chart time
11:49 jimmer49: clues from people who know what they are doing
11:50 jimmer49: that is how one becomes successful

 

12:36 @Buffy2: 100-200-300 the usual tfs right? (AB Esignal data feed)

12:37 jimmer49: yes, B

12:37 @Buffy2: tks

12:38 jimmer49: 900 also

 

14:02 Elroch: Jimmer - when you chose MOFs like the two early shorts, do you consider long term divergences at all?

14:03 Elroch: I see 300T rd there

14:04 jimmer49: yes, E

14:04 jimmer49: try never to ignore serious div - rd only

 

16:03 Slim: Jimmer.....what is your trigger on the 100 tick once it turns in your direction

16:05 jimmer49: Slim - those mof entries I try to take right at the band

16:06 Slim: at the lower band or upper band

16:06 jimmer49: lower band for long

16:06 Slim: ok thnx

 

16:08 Slim: Jimmer........the bars could ride down on the lower band for several bars before turning.........don't you need something other than hitting the lower band before going in? I realize that so something else must turn along with the lower band and I was just wondering what it was

16:10 jimmer49: trusting the slow stoch, Slim

16:10 Slim: oh ok

 

20:00 Elroch: BTW, I have one question. Would you take any MOF that looks good on the 100T or is some longer term encouragement required?

20:01 Elroch: I feel happier if I can see it as a refinement of a long term setup

20:01 jimmer49: very good question, E

20:02 jimmer49: what I want on 100t mof is a 300t slow sto that is very oversold (for long mof) and looking like it could possibly turn - doesn't have to turn, just look like it could

20:02 Elroch: Right - So avoids trading against a trend that is flying

20:02 jimmer49: will not fight a htf slow sto that looks like it has more to go - not worth it

20:03 Elroch: Thanks

20:03 jimmer49: appreciate the encouraging words from you guys

20:04 jimmer49: I like the company here, but will remain without sound and keep low profile during trading - easy to post, not as easy to find time to explain - so sticking with what I think is fairly self explanatory

20:05 Elroch: Did you travel or anything in your long break?

20:05 jimmer49: traveled around this area - plenty of new things to do here

20:05 Elroch: You moved a while back, didn't you?

20:05 jimmer49: June

20:06 Elroch: Very recently then. So a new part of the country for you.

20:06 jimmer49: yes

 

10:15 jimmer49: classic buy div there on 100t er

10:18 jimmer49: that plus the pattern on 900t was signal to find a way in to a long

10:25 jimmer49: anticipation so important

10:28 jimmer49: not to be confused with expectation btw

 

11:24 jimmer49: was notable sell div on 300t er

 

11:37 jimmer49: second classic sell D on 300t er

11:38 jimmer49: much more likelyhood of follow thru than the first one

 

12:07 ichimoku: Jimmer what are your yellow KT bands settings?

12:07 jimmer49: 1.3 30 simple

12:08 ichimoku: ok thanks

12:08 jimmer49: so, 100t is mof long, but time of day not the best

 

12:22 jimmer49: mof long on 100t led into ordinary 9/30 short on 300t

 

13:32 jimmer49: was mof short